Idioma:Español
V-Varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
V-Varen Nagasaki (Local)
Predicción 29.50%3.39momio equitativo
EV -4.12%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.77%29.48%29.49%30.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.103.103.2533.90%32.25%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nagoya Grampus (Visitante)
Predicción 44.48%2.25momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -2.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.11%44.44%44.50%45.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.082.102.1751.02%48.00%47.62%46.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.01%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.652%
Kelly -0.889%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%26.08%26.01%27.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.333.493.423.7530.03%28.68%29.20%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: V-Varen Nagasaki (Local): 29.50%; Nagoya Grampus (Visitante): 44.48%; Empate: 26.01%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.84. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.75, con un valor esperado de -2.44%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.25%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -4.41%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.72%EV -5.25%E -2.47%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 10:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.44%E -0.652%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.18%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.87%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -5.83%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 10:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -7.48%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -11.92%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -12.85%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.94%EV -10.61%E -3.50%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -12.81%E -6.54%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.33%EV -13.37%E -4.02%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 07:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -11.92%E -6.02%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.75% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |