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V-Varen Nagasaki v Gamba Osaka
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
V-Varen Nagasaki (Хозяева)
Прогноз 33.57%2.98справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.975%
Преимущество -0.330%
Kelly -0.500%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.06%33.45%33.60%35.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.772.802.9538.46%36.08%35.71%33.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Gamba Osaka (Гости)
Прогноз 37.81%2.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.189%
Преимущество -0.072%
Kelly -0.115%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.64
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.19%37.96%37.74%40.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.412.382.6444.44%41.57%42.02%37.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.62%3.49справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.187%
Преимущество +0.053%
Kelly +0.075%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.20%28.59%28.67%29.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.953.233.253.5033.90%30.98%30.77%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: V-Varen Nagasaki (Хозяева): 33.57%; Gamba Osaka (Гости): 37.81%; Ничья: 28.62%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.49. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.187%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -0.975%E -0.330%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV +0.187%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -5.34%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -2.08%E -0.803%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -1.82%E -0.530%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.83%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -6.68%E -2.40%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -12.72%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.53%EV -10.04%E -3.75%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -15.56%E -5.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |