Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

V-Varen Nagasaki v Gamba Osaka

Początek: 2026-09-02 10:03 UTC

Wynik końcowy: V-Varen Nagasaki 2–2 Gamba Osaka

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

V-Varen Nagasaki (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 33.57%2.98kurs godziwy
EV -0.975%
Przewaga -0.330%
Kelly -0.500%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.06%33.45%33.60%35.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.772.802.9538.46%36.08%35.71%33.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Gamba Osaka (Goście)

Prognoza 37.81%2.64kurs godziwy
EV -0.189%
Przewaga -0.072%
Kelly -0.115%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.19%37.96%37.74%40.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.412.382.6444.44%41.57%42.02%37.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.62%3.49kurs godziwy
EV +0.187%
Przewaga +0.053%
Kelly +0.075%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.20%28.59%28.67%29.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.953.233.253.5033.90%30.98%30.77%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: V-Varen Nagasaki (Gospodarze): 33.57%; Gamba Osaka (Goście): 37.81%; Remis: 28.62%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.49. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.187%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -0.975%E -0.330%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV +0.187%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 09:20
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -5.34%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -2.08%E -0.803%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -1.82%E -0.530%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:50
BetAnything🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 09:35
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 09:20
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 09:35
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:50
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:53
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:35
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.83%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 09:55
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 09:48
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:45
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:35
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -6.68%E -2.40%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -12.72%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 09:50
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:35
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:35
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 09:30
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 09:30
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 09:30
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 32.53%EV -10.04%E -3.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -15.56%E -5.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-02 09:53
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-09-02 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-09-02 09:45
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-09-02 09:30