Langue:Français
V-Varen Nagasaki v Gamba Osaka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
V-Varen Nagasaki (Local)
Prévision 33.57%2.98cote équitable
EV -0.975%
Avantage -0.330%
Kelly -0.500%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.06%33.45%33.60%35.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.802.9538.46%36.08%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Gamba Osaka (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.81%2.64cote équitable
EV -0.189%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.115%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.19%37.96%37.74%40.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.412.382.6444.44%41.57%42.02%37.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.62%3.49cote équitable
EV +0.187%
Avantage +0.053%
Kelly +0.075%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.20%28.59%28.67%29.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.233.253.5033.90%30.98%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : V-Varen Nagasaki (Local) : 33.57% ; Gamba Osaka (Visiteur) : 37.81% ; Match nul : 28.62%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.49. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +0.187%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -0.975%E -0.330%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV +0.187%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -5.34%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -2.08%E -0.803%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -1.82%E -0.530%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.83%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -6.68%E -2.40%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -12.72%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.53%EV -10.04%E -3.75%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -15.56%E -5.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |