Idioma:Español
V-Varen Nagasaki v Gamba Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
V-Varen Nagasaki (Local)
Predicción 33.57%2.98momio equitativo
EV -0.975%
Ventaja -0.330%
Kelly -0.500%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.06%33.45%33.60%35.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.802.9538.46%36.08%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Gamba Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 37.81%2.64momio equitativo
EV -0.189%
Ventaja -0.072%
Kelly -0.115%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.19%37.96%37.74%40.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.382.6444.44%41.57%42.02%37.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.62%3.49momio equitativo
EV +0.187%
Ventaja +0.053%
Kelly +0.075%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.20%28.59%28.67%29.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.233.253.5033.90%30.98%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: V-Varen Nagasaki (Local): 33.57%; Gamba Osaka (Visitante): 37.81%; Empate: 28.62%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.49. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.187%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -0.975%E -0.330%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV +0.187%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -5.34%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -2.08%E -0.803%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -1.82%E -0.530%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.83%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -6.68%E -2.40%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -12.72%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.53%EV -10.04%E -3.75%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -15.56%E -5.27%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |