StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

V-Varen Nagasaki v Gamba Osaka

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 10:03 UTC

Endstand: V-Varen Nagasaki 2–2 Gamba Osaka

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

V-Varen Nagasaki (Heim)

Prognose 33.57%2.98faire Quote
EV -0.975%
Vorteil -0.330%
Kelly -0.500%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.06%33.45%33.60%35.01%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.602.772.802.9538.46%36.08%35.71%33.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Gamba Osaka (Auswärts)

Prognose 37.81%2.64faire Quote
EV -0.189%
Vorteil -0.072%
Kelly -0.115%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.64

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.19%37.96%37.74%40.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.412.382.6444.44%41.57%42.02%37.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.62%3.49faire Quote
EV +0.187%
Vorteil +0.053%
Kelly +0.075%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.20%28.59%28.67%29.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.953.233.253.5033.90%30.98%30.77%28.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: V-Varen Nagasaki (Heim): 33.57%; Gamba Osaka (Auswärts): 37.81%; Unentschieden: 28.62%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.49. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.187%.

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -0.975%E -0.330%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV +0.187%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 09:20
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -5.34%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -2.08%E -0.803%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -1.82%E -0.530%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:50
BetAnything🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 09:35
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 09:20
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 09:35
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:50
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:53
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:35
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.83%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 09:55
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 09:48
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:45
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:35
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -6.68%E -2.40%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -12.72%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 09:50
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:35
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:35
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 09:30
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 09:30
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 09:30
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 32.53%EV -10.04%E -3.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -15.56%E -5.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-02 09:53
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-09-02 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-09-02 09:45
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-09-02 09:30