Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

V-Varen Nagasaki v Gamba Osaka

Início: 2026-09-02 10:03 UTC

Final: V-Varen Nagasaki 2–2 Gamba Osaka

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

V-Varen Nagasaki (Local)

Previsão 33.57%2.98odd justa
EV -0.975%
Vantagem -0.330%
Kelly -0.500%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.06%33.45%33.60%35.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.802.9538.46%36.08%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gamba Osaka (Visitante)

Previsão 37.81%2.64odd justa
EV -0.189%
Vantagem -0.072%
Kelly -0.115%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.19%37.96%37.74%40.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.412.382.6444.44%41.57%42.02%37.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.62%3.49odd justa
EV +0.187%
Vantagem +0.053%
Kelly +0.075%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.20%28.59%28.67%29.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.233.253.5033.90%30.98%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: V-Varen Nagasaki (Local): 33.57%; Gamba Osaka (Visitante): 37.81%; Empate: 28.62%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.49. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.187%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -0.975%E -0.330%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV +0.187%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 09:20
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -5.34%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -2.08%E -0.803%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -1.82%E -0.530%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -4.11%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:50
BetAnything🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%EV -8.02%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -0.189%E -0.072%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.95%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 09:35
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 09:20
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.86%EV -12.29%E -5.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 09:35
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.54%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -8.36%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:50
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:53
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -13.80%E -6.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.97%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:35
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.83%EV -5.67%E -2.02%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -1.70%E -0.654%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 09:55
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 09:48
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:45
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:35
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.40%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -6.68%E -2.40%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -12.72%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.83%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 09:50
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:35
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:35
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 09:30
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-02 09:30
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.40%E -4.39%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 09:30
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 32.53%EV -10.04%E -3.75%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -15.56%E -5.27%K -7.98%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-02 09:53
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-09-02 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-09-02 09:45
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-09-02 09:30