语言:简体中文
Nagoya Grampus v FC Machida Zelvia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Nagoya Grampus (主队)
预测 30.71%3.26公平赔率
EV -2.04%
优势 -0.639%
Kelly -0.931%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.19
博彩公司预测分布
29.64%30.66%30.72%31.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.033.003.1935.71%33.05%33.33%31.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
FC Machida Zelvia (客队)
预测 41.90%2.39公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -0.837%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.34
博彩公司预测分布
40.43%41.96%41.85%43.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.182.192.3448.78%45.86%45.77%42.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.39%3.65公平赔率
EV -1.39%
优势 -0.385%
Kelly -0.534%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.59%27.38%27.42%28.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.71%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Nagoya Grampus (主队)：30.71%；FC Machida Zelvia (客队)：41.90%；平局：27.39%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.65。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-1.39%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.78%EV -2.04%E -0.639%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.85%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -9.08%E -4.18%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -9.08%E -4.18%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -3.88%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -2.80%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.35%EV -3.03%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -1.39%E -0.385%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -10.34%E -4.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -10.34%E -4.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 08:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -6.64%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -7.41%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 08:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -6.99%E -3.15%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -14.11%E -6.88%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 08:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 08:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.01%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.34%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 08:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |