StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Nagoya Grampus v FC Machida Zelvia

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-06 09:03 UTC

Endstand: Nagoya Grampus 1–3 FC Machida Zelvia

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Nagoya Grampus (Heim)

Prognose 30.71%3.26faire Quote
EV -2.04%
Vorteil -0.639%
Kelly -0.931%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.19

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.64%30.66%30.72%31.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.803.033.003.1935.71%33.05%33.33%31.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

FC Machida Zelvia (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.90%2.39faire Quote
EV -1.96%
Vorteil -0.837%
Kelly -1.46%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.43%41.96%41.85%43.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.182.192.3448.78%45.86%45.77%42.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.39%3.65faire Quote
EV -1.39%
Vorteil -0.385%
Kelly -0.534%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.59%27.38%27.42%28.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.71%29.41%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Nagoya Grampus (Heim): 30.71%; FC Machida Zelvia (Auswärts): 41.90%; Unentschieden: 27.39%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.65. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.60, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.39%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.78%EV -2.04%E -0.639%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.85%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -9.08%E -4.18%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -9.08%E -4.18%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -3.88%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -2.80%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.35%EV -3.03%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 08:55
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -1.39%E -0.385%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 07:15
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 07:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 07:15
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -10.34%E -4.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -10.34%E -4.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 08:25
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 07:25
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 08:53
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 08:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -6.64%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -7.41%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 08:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 08:54
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 08:54
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 08:14
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 07:25
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 08:54
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -6.99%E -3.15%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 07:15
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 07:15
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 07:20
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 08:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 08:54
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 07:15
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 07:15
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 07:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -14.11%E -6.88%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 08:35
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 07:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 07:25
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 08:45
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 07:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 07:15
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.01%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.34%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 08:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-09-06 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-09-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-09-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-09-06 08:50
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-09-06 08:55
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%3.1%2026-09-06 08:55