Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nagoya Grampus v FC Machida Zelvia

Inizio: 2026-09-06 09:03 UTC

Finale: Nagoya Grampus 1–3 FC Machida Zelvia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nagoya Grampus (Casa)

Previsione 30.71%3.26quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -0.639%
Kelly -0.931%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.64%30.66%30.72%31.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.033.003.1935.71%33.05%33.33%31.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Machida Zelvia (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.90%2.39quota equa
EV -1.96%
Vantaggio -0.837%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.43%41.96%41.85%43.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.182.192.3448.78%45.86%45.77%42.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.39%3.65quota equa
EV -1.39%
Vantaggio -0.385%
Kelly -0.534%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.59%27.38%27.42%28.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.71%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Nagoya Grampus (Casa): 30.71%; FC Machida Zelvia (Trasferta): 41.90%; Pareggio: 27.39%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.65. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.60, con un valore atteso del -1.39%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.78%EV -2.04%E -0.639%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.85%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -9.08%E -4.18%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -9.08%E -4.18%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -3.88%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -2.80%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.35%EV -3.03%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 08:55
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -1.39%E -0.385%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 07:15
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 07:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 07:15
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -10.34%E -4.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -10.34%E -4.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 08:25
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:25
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 07:25
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 08:53
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 08:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -6.64%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -7.41%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 08:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 08:54
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 08:54
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 08:14
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 07:25
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 08:54
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -6.99%E -3.15%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 07:15
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 07:15
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 07:20
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 08:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 08:54
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 07:15
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 07:15
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 07:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -14.11%E -6.88%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 08:35
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 07:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 07:25
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 08:45
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 07:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 07:15
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.01%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.34%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 08:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-09-06 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-09-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-09-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-09-06 08:50
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-09-06 08:55
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%3.1%2026-09-06 08:55