Idioma:Español
Nagoya Grampus v FC Machida Zelvia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nagoya Grampus (Local)
Predicción 30.71%3.26momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.639%
Kelly -0.931%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.64%30.66%30.72%31.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.033.003.1935.71%33.05%33.33%31.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Machida Zelvia (Visitante)
Predicción 41.90%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.837%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.43%41.96%41.85%43.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.192.3448.78%45.86%45.77%42.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.39%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.534%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%27.38%27.42%28.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.71%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nagoya Grampus (Local): 30.71%; FC Machida Zelvia (Visitante): 41.90%; Empate: 27.39%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.65. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.60, con un valor esperado de -1.39%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.78%EV -2.04%E -0.639%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.85%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -9.08%E -4.18%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -9.08%E -4.18%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.93%EV -3.88%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -2.80%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.35%EV -3.03%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -1.39%E -0.385%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -10.34%E -4.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -10.34%E -4.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.18%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 08:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -6.34%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -6.64%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.15%E -2.74%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -7.41%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -1.96%E -0.837%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 08:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -6.99%E -3.15%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -14.11%E -6.88%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 08:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 08:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.56%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 07:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.01%E -5.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.34%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 08:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |