Language:English
Mito HollyHock v Kawasaki Frontale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mito HollyHock (Local)
Prediction 28.21%3.54fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -0.501%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%28.17%28.13%29.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.303.5033.33%30.78%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kawasaki Frontale (Visit)
Prediction 46.12%2.17fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.35%46.17%46.24%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0852.63%49.89%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.67%3.90fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.410%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.67%25.62%26.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.333.543.503.8530.03%28.23%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mito HollyHock (Local): 28.21%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visit): 46.12%; Draw: 25.67%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -7.31%E -3.64%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -2.71%E -0.714%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.23%E -4.14%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 13:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.38%E -6.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -3.51%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -9.61%E -4.91%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -1.17%E -0.303%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:17 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 13:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.92%E -6.24%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -9.15%E -4.65%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -14.00%E -4.18%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.60%EV -13.38%E -4.36%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.03%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.37%EV -14.52%E -4.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 13:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |