默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mito HollyHock v Kawasaki Frontale

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 09:00 UTC

最终结果: Mito HollyHock 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mito HollyHock (主队)

预测 28.21%3.54公平赔率
EV -1.25%
优势 -0.358%
Kelly -0.501%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.22%28.17%28.13%29.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.253.303.5033.33%30.78%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kawasaki Frontale (客队)

预测 46.12%2.17公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -1.96%
Kelly -3.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
44.35%46.17%46.24%48.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.002.002.0852.63%49.89%50.00%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.67%3.90公平赔率
EV -1.17%
优势 -0.303%
Kelly -0.410%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.46%25.67%25.62%26.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.333.543.503.8530.03%28.23%28.57%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Mito HollyHock (主队):28.21%;Kawasaki Frontale (客队):46.12%;平局:25.67%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.90。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.85,期望值为-1.17%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -7.31%E -3.64%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -2.71%E -0.714%K -0.971%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 15:45
Pinnacle🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.23%E -4.14%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:01
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.38%E -6.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -3.51%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -9.61%E -4.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:26
LowVig.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:10
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -1.17%E -0.303%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:15
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 13:17
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:10
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:15
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:10
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:14
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 13:14
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 12:55
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:55
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.92%E -6.24%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 13:00
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 13:15
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -9.15%E -4.65%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -14.00%E -4.18%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 28.60%EV -13.38%E -4.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.03%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.37%EV -14.52%E -4.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-09 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 13:00
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 12:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 13:01
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 13:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%5.4%2026-09-09 17:35