Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mito HollyHock v Kawasaki Frontale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 09:00 UTC

Score final : Mito HollyHock 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mito HollyHock (Local)

Prévision 28.21%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.358%
Kelly -0.501%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%28.17%28.13%29.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.303.5033.33%30.78%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kawasaki Frontale (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.12%2.17cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.35%46.17%46.24%48.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.002.002.0852.63%49.89%50.00%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.67%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.303%
Kelly -0.410%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%25.67%25.62%26.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.333.543.503.8530.03%28.23%28.57%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mito HollyHock (Local) : 28.21% ; Kawasaki Frontale (Visiteur) : 46.12% ; Match nul : 25.67%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.90. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.85, pour une espérance de -1.17% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -7.31%E -3.64%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -2.71%E -0.714%K -0.971%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 15:45
Pinnacle🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.23%E -4.14%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:01
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.38%E -6.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -3.51%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -9.61%E -4.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:26
LowVig.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:10
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -1.17%E -0.303%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:15
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 13:17
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:10
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:15
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:10
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:14
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 13:14
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 12:55
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:55
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.92%E -6.24%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 13:00
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 13:15
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -9.15%E -4.65%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -14.00%E -4.18%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 28.60%EV -13.38%E -4.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.03%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.37%EV -14.52%E -4.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-09 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 13:00
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 12:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 13:01
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%5.4%2026-09-09 17:35