Idioma:Español
Mito HollyHock v Kawasaki Frontale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mito HollyHock (Local)
Predicción 28.21%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.358%
Kelly -0.501%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%28.17%28.13%29.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.303.5033.33%30.78%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante)
Predicción 46.12%2.17momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -3.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.35%46.17%46.24%48.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.002.002.0852.63%49.89%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.67%3.90momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.303%
Kelly -0.410%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.46%25.67%25.62%26.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.333.543.503.8530.03%28.23%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mito HollyHock (Local): 28.21%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante): 46.12%; Empate: 25.67%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.90. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.85, con un valor esperado de -1.17%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -7.31%E -3.64%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -2.71%E -0.714%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.23%E -4.14%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 13:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.38%E -6.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -3.51%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -9.61%E -4.91%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -1.17%E -0.303%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:17 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 13:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.92%E -6.24%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -9.15%E -4.65%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -14.00%E -4.18%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.60%EV -13.38%E -4.36%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.03%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.37%EV -14.52%E -4.36%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 13:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |