Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mito HollyHock v Kawasaki Frontale

Inizio: 2026-09-12 09:00 UTC

Finale: Mito HollyHock 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mito HollyHock (Casa)

Previsione 28.21%3.54quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -0.358%
Kelly -0.501%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.22%28.17%28.13%29.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.253.303.5033.33%30.78%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kawasaki Frontale (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.12%2.17quota equa
EV -4.08%
Vantaggio -1.96%
Kelly -3.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.35%46.17%46.24%48.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.002.002.0852.63%49.89%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.67%3.90quota equa
EV -1.17%
Vantaggio -0.303%
Kelly -0.410%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.46%25.67%25.62%26.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.333.543.503.8530.03%28.23%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Mito HollyHock (Casa): 28.21%; Kawasaki Frontale (Trasferta): 46.12%; Pareggio: 25.67%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.90. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.85, con un valore atteso del -1.17%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -7.31%E -3.64%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -2.71%E -0.714%K -0.971%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 15:45
Pinnacle🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -8.23%E -4.14%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:01
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.25%E -0.358%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.38%E -6.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -3.51%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -9.61%E -4.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:26
LowVig.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.48%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:10
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -1.17%E -0.303%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:15
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 13:00
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 13:17
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:10
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.87%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.85%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:15
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:35
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.30%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:10
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.45%E -0.645%K -0.875%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 13:14
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 13:14
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 12:55
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.46%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:55
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.92%E -6.24%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 13:00
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 13:15
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -12.54%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -9.15%E -4.65%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -14.00%E -4.18%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 28.60%EV -13.38%E -4.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.03%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.37%EV -14.52%E -4.36%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-09 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.15%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 13:00
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 12:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -7.77%E -3.88%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.72%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 13:01
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.76%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.44%E -3.31%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 13:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%5.4%2026-09-09 17:35