语言:简体中文
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Nagoya Grampus
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (主队)
预测 59.99%1.67公平赔率
EV -3.42%
优势 -2.12%
Kelly -5.60%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.61
博彩公司预测分布
57.74%60.13%59.99%62.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.52%65.36%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nagoya Grampus (客队)
预测 18.71%5.34公平赔率
EV +4.80%
优势 +0.857%
Kelly +1.04%
增长率 +0.050%
假设最高赔率为 5.60
博彩公司预测分布
16.73%18.61%18.77%19.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.055.005.6022.22%19.81%20.00%17.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.30%4.70公平赔率
EV -3.31%
优势 -0.730%
Kelly -0.936%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.54
博彩公司预测分布
20.41%21.26%21.24%22.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.304.344.5425.00%23.25%23.04%22.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (主队)：59.99%；Nagoya Grampus (客队)：18.71%；平局：21.30%。 对于“Nagoya Grampus (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.34。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.60，对应+4.80%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +4.80%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.050% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +4.80%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.050% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -10.62%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -10.62%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -12.42%E -8.50%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -12.42%E -8.50%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.43%EV -13.02%E -8.98%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.68%EV -4.62%E -2.90%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.07%EV -0.067%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.25%EV -3.31%E -0.730%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.62%E -2.90%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -0.628%E -0.118%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -1.75%E -0.334%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -1.75%E -0.334%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.69%E -0.517%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.56%E -0.894%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 08:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -9.24%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 09:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.22%EV -9.42%E -6.24%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.23%EV -12.98%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -11.62%E -2.80%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -13.92%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.92%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.53% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |