Idioma:Español
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Nagoya Grampus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local)
Predicción 59.99%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -5.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.74%60.13%59.99%62.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.52%65.36%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nagoya Grampus (Visitante)
Predicción 18.71%5.34momio equitativo
EV +4.80%
Ventaja +0.857%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.050%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.73%18.61%18.77%19.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.055.005.6022.22%19.81%20.00%17.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.30%4.70momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -0.730%
Kelly -0.936%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.41%21.26%21.24%22.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.304.344.5425.00%23.25%23.04%22.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local): 59.99%; Nagoya Grampus (Visitante): 18.71%; Empate: 21.30%. Para Nagoya Grampus (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.34. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.80%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +4.80%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.050% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +4.80%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.050% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -10.62%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -10.62%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -12.42%E -8.50%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -12.42%E -8.50%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.43%EV -13.02%E -8.98%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.68%EV -4.62%E -2.90%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.07%EV -0.067%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.25%EV -3.31%E -0.730%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.62%E -2.90%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -0.628%E -0.118%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -1.75%E -0.334%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -1.75%E -0.334%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.69%E -0.517%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.56%E -0.894%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 08:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -9.24%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 09:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.22%EV -9.42%E -6.24%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.23%EV -12.98%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -11.62%E -2.80%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -13.92%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.92%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.53% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |