Язык:Русский
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Nagoya Grampus
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 59.99%1.67справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.42%
Преимущество -2.12%
Kelly -5.60%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.61
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.74%60.13%59.99%62.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.52%65.36%62.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Nagoya Grampus (Гости)
Прогноз 18.71%5.34справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.80%
Преимущество +0.857%
Kelly +1.04%
Рост +0.050%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.73%18.61%18.77%19.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.055.005.6022.22%19.81%20.00%17.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.30%4.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.31%
Преимущество -0.730%
Kelly -0.936%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.41%21.26%21.24%22.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.304.344.5425.00%23.25%23.04%22.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Хозяева): 59.99%; Nagoya Grampus (Гости): 18.71%; Ничья: 21.30%. Для исхода «Nagoya Grampus (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.34. 15 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.60, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.80%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +4.80%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.050% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +4.80%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.050% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -10.62%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -10.62%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -12.42%E -8.50%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -12.42%E -8.50%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.43%EV -13.02%E -8.98%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.68%EV -4.62%E -2.90%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.07%EV -0.067%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.25%EV -3.31%E -0.730%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.62%E -2.90%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -0.628%E -0.118%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -1.75%E -0.334%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -1.75%E -0.334%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.69%E -0.517%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.56%E -0.894%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 08:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -9.24%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 09:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.22%EV -9.42%E -6.24%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.23%EV -12.98%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -11.62%E -2.80%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -13.92%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.92%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.53% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |