Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Nagoya Grampus

Inizio: 2026-09-02 10:00 UTC

Finale: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 3–0 Nagoya Grampus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Casa)

Previsione 59.99%1.67quota equa
EV -3.42%
Vantaggio -2.12%
Kelly -5.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.74%60.13%59.99%62.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.52%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Nagoya Grampus (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.71%5.34quota equa
EV +4.80%
Vantaggio +0.857%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescita +0.050%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.73%18.61%18.77%19.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.055.005.6022.22%19.81%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.30%4.70quota equa
EV -3.31%
Vantaggio -0.730%
Kelly -0.936%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.41%21.26%21.24%22.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.304.344.5425.00%23.25%23.04%22.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Casa): 59.99%; Nagoya Grampus (Trasferta): 18.71%; Pareggio: 21.30%. Per Nagoya Grampus (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.34. 15 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.80%.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +4.80%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.050%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +4.80%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.050%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 09:00
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -10.62%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -10.62%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 09:05
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -12.42%E -8.50%K -26.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -12.42%E -8.50%K -26.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.43%EV -13.02%E -8.98%K -28.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.68%EV -4.62%E -2.90%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.07%EV -0.067%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.25%EV -3.31%E -0.730%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 09:55
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.62%E -2.90%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -0.628%E -0.118%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -1.75%E -0.334%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -1.75%E -0.334%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.69%E -0.517%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 09:45
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.56%E -0.894%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 08:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:35
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 09:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 08:20
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 08:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 08:30
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:40
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:38
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -9.24%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 08:30
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 09:43
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 08:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.22%EV -9.42%E -6.24%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.23%EV -12.98%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -11.62%E -2.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 09:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -13.92%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:40
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.92%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 08:30
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 08:30
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 09:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-09-02 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-09-02 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-09-02 09:40
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.9%2026-09-02 09:10
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.53%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-09-02 09:55