StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Nagoya Grampus

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 10:00 UTC

Endstand: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 3–0 Nagoya Grampus

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Heim)

Prognose 59.99%1.67faire Quote
EV -3.42%
Vorteil -2.12%
Kelly -5.60%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.74%60.13%59.99%62.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.52%65.36%62.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Nagoya Grampus (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.71%5.34faire Quote
EV +4.80%
Vorteil +0.857%
Kelly +1.04%
Wachstum +0.050%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.73%18.61%18.77%19.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.055.005.6022.22%19.81%20.00%17.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.30%4.70faire Quote
EV -3.31%
Vorteil -0.730%
Kelly -0.936%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.41%21.26%21.24%22.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.304.344.5425.00%23.25%23.04%22.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Heim): 59.99%; Nagoya Grampus (Auswärts): 18.71%; Unentschieden: 21.30%. Für Nagoya Grampus (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.34. 15 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.60 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.80%.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +4.80%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.050%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +4.80%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.050%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 09:00
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -10.62%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -10.62%E -7.12%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 09:05
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:00
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.93%E +0.532%K +0.651%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -12.42%E -8.50%K -26.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.27%EV -12.42%E -8.50%K -26.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.43%EV -13.02%E -8.98%K -28.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV +1.06%E +0.196%K +0.240%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.68%EV -4.62%E -2.90%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.07%EV -0.067%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.25%EV -3.31%E -0.730%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 09:55
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.62%E -2.90%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -0.628%E -0.118%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -1.75%E -0.334%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -1.75%E -0.334%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.69%E -0.517%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 09:45
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.56%E -0.894%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 08:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.42%E -2.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:35
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 09:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 08:20
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.42%E -4.11%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.17%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 08:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.43%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 08:30
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:40
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:38
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -9.24%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -5.82%E -3.70%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.79%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 08:30
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 09:43
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.17%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 08:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.11%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.22%EV -9.42%E -6.24%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.23%EV -12.98%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -11.62%E -2.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 09:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.82%E -5.80%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -13.92%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:40
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.22%E -5.37%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.92%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 08:30
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 08:30
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 09:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.02%E -6.68%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.79%E -3.51%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 09:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-09-02 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-09-02 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-09-02 09:40
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.9%2026-09-02 09:10
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.53%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-09-02 09:55