Language:English
FC Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia (Local)
Prediction 46.20%2.16fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.82%46.39%46.23%49.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.952.1054.05%50.92%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kawasaki Frontale (Visit)
Prediction 27.21%3.67fair odd
EV +4.77%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.68%27.06%27.17%28.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.403.8531.25%28.80%29.41%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV -0.316%
Edge -0.084%
Kelly -0.115%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%26.55%26.60%28.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.503.7530.30%28.82%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 46.20%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visit): 27.21%; Draw: 26.58%. For Kawasaki Frontale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV +4.77%E +1.24%K +1.67%G +0.080% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -11.75%E -6.15%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV +2.05%E +0.546%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -11.75%E -6.15%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV +2.05%E +0.546%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -13.13%E -6.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -13.13%E -6.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -14.06%E -7.56%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -14.06%E -7.56%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -14.52%E -7.85%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.21%E -6.43%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -3.43%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -2.85%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -3.24%E -0.890%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.51%E -4.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -3.67%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -5.90%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.316%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 09:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 09:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.29%E -5.88%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.62%EV -11.01%E -3.37%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.21%EV -11.75%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.25%EV -8.51%E -4.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |