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FC Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
FC Machida Zelvia (Хозяева)
Прогноз 46.20%2.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.97%
Преимущество -1.41%
Kelly -2.70%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.82%46.39%46.23%49.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.851.961.952.1054.05%50.92%51.28%47.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Kawasaki Frontale (Гости)
Прогноз 27.21%3.67справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.77%
Преимущество +1.24%
Kelly +1.67%
Рост +0.080%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.68%27.06%27.17%28.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.473.403.8531.25%28.80%29.41%25.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.58%3.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.316%
Преимущество -0.084%
Kelly -0.115%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.34%26.55%26.60%28.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.473.503.7530.30%28.82%28.57%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: FC Machida Zelvia (Хозяева): 46.20%; Kawasaki Frontale (Гости): 27.21%; Ничья: 26.58%. Для исхода «Kawasaki Frontale (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.67. 12 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.85, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.77%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV +4.77%E +1.24%K +1.67%G +0.080% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -11.75%E -6.15%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV +2.05%E +0.546%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -11.75%E -6.15%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV +2.05%E +0.546%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -13.13%E -6.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -13.13%E -6.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -14.06%E -7.56%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -14.06%E -7.56%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -14.52%E -7.85%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.21%E -6.43%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -3.43%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -2.85%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -3.24%E -0.890%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.51%E -4.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -3.67%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -5.90%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.316%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 09:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 09:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.29%E -5.88%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.62%EV -11.01%E -3.37%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.21%EV -11.75%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.25%EV -8.51%E -4.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |