Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 10:00 UTC

Score final : FC Machida Zelvia 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Machida Zelvia (Local)

Prévision 46.20%2.16cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.82%46.39%46.23%49.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.961.952.1054.05%50.92%51.28%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kawasaki Frontale (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.21%3.67cote équitable
EV +4.77%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.080%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.68%27.06%27.17%28.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.403.8531.25%28.80%29.41%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.58%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.316%
Avantage -0.084%
Kelly -0.115%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.34%26.55%26.60%28.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.473.503.7530.30%28.82%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Machida Zelvia (Local) : 46.20% ; Kawasaki Frontale (Visiteur) : 27.21% ; Match nul : 26.58%. Pour Kawasaki Frontale (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.67. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +4.77%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV +4.77%E +1.24%K +1.67%G +0.080%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -11.75%E -6.15%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV +2.05%E +0.546%K +0.745%G +0.015%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -11.75%E -6.15%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV +2.05%E +0.546%K +0.745%G +0.015%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:25
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -13.13%E -6.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -13.13%E -6.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:25
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -14.06%E -7.56%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 09:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -14.06%E -7.56%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -14.52%E -7.85%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.21%E -6.43%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:50
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -3.43%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -2.85%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -3.24%E -0.890%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:50
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.51%E -4.30%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -3.67%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -5.90%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.316%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 09:50
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 09:34
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:35
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 09:47
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:50
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:35
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.29%E -5.88%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 09:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:50
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 09:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.62%EV -11.01%E -3.37%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.21%EV -11.75%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 09:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:50
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.25%EV -8.51%E -4.30%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-09-02 09:55
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-09-02 09:50
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-09-02 09:55