Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale

Início: 2026-09-02 10:00 UTC

Final: FC Machida Zelvia 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Machida Zelvia (Local)

Previsão 46.20%2.16odd justa
EV -2.97%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -2.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.82%46.39%46.23%49.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.961.952.1054.05%50.92%51.28%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante)

Previsão 27.21%3.67odd justa
EV +4.77%
Vantagem +1.24%
Kelly +1.67%
Crescimento +0.080%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.68%27.06%27.17%28.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.473.403.8531.25%28.80%29.41%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.58%3.76odd justa
EV -0.316%
Vantagem -0.084%
Kelly -0.115%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.34%26.55%26.60%28.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.473.503.7530.30%28.82%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 46.20%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante): 27.21%; Empate: 26.58%. Para Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.67. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.77%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV +4.77%E +1.24%K +1.67%G +0.080%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -11.75%E -6.15%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV +2.05%E +0.546%K +0.745%G +0.015%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -11.75%E -6.15%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV +2.05%E +0.546%K +0.745%G +0.015%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:25
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -13.13%E -6.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -13.13%E -6.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:25
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:25
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 09:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -14.06%E -7.56%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 09:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -14.06%E -7.56%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -14.52%E -7.85%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.21%E -6.43%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:50
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -3.43%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -2.85%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -3.24%E -0.890%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:50
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.51%E -4.30%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -3.67%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -5.90%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.316%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 09:50
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 09:34
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:35
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 09:47
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:50
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 09:35
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.29%E -5.88%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 09:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:50
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 09:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.62%EV -11.01%E -3.37%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.21%EV -11.75%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 09:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:50
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.25%EV -8.51%E -4.30%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-09-02 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-09-02 09:55
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-09-02 09:50
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-09-02 09:55