Idioma:Español
FC Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Machida Zelvia (Local)
Predicción 46.20%2.16momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.82%46.39%46.23%49.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.961.952.1054.05%50.92%51.28%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante)
Predicción 27.21%3.67momio equitativo
EV +4.77%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.67%
Crecimiento +0.080%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.68%27.06%27.17%28.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.403.8531.25%28.80%29.41%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.58%3.76momio equitativo
EV -0.316%
Ventaja -0.084%
Kelly -0.115%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.34%26.55%26.60%28.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.473.503.7530.30%28.82%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 46.20%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante): 27.21%; Empate: 26.58%. Para Kawasaki Frontale (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.67. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.77%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV +4.77%E +1.24%K +1.67%G +0.080% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.28%EV -10.68%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -11.75%E -6.15%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV +2.05%E +0.546%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -11.75%E -6.15%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV +2.05%E +0.546%K +0.745%G +0.015% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -13.13%E -6.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -13.13%E -6.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV +0.687%E +0.186%K +0.254%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -14.06%E -7.56%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -14.06%E -7.56%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -14.52%E -7.85%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -0.674%E -0.185%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.21%E -6.43%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -2.03%E -0.565%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -3.43%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -2.85%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -3.24%E -0.890%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -2.97%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.39%E -0.956%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.51%E -4.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -3.67%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -5.90%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.316%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 09:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 09:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.67%E -3.30%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.29%E -5.88%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.28%E -2.58%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -13.60%E -7.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.62%EV -11.01%E -3.37%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.21%EV -11.75%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.90%E -5.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.59%E -3.80%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.25%EV -8.51%E -4.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |