Language:English
Avispa Fukuoka v Mito HollyHock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka (Local)
Prediction 46.16%2.17fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.82%46.21%46.17%47.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.971.952.0852.36%50.66%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mito HollyHock (Visit)
Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.287%
Kelly +0.386%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.47%25.87%25.94%27.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.653.9030.30%27.55%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%27.92%27.90%28.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.303.303.4731.25%30.26%30.30%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 46.16%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 25.93%; Draw: 27.91%. For Mito HollyHock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -6.29%E -3.10%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -8.13%E -4.09%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 19:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16%EV -4.44%E -2.15%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.94%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.20%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.11%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.69%EV -3.16%E -0.910%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 10:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.79%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 19:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -13.14%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.06%EV -9.86%E -3.05%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 10:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.44%E -4.37%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |