Langue:Français
Avispa Fukuoka v Mito HollyHock
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Avispa Fukuoka (Local)
Prévision 46.16%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.82%46.21%46.17%47.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.911.971.952.0852.36%50.66%51.28%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Mito HollyHock (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.93%3.86cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.287%
Kelly +0.386%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.47%25.87%25.94%27.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.653.9030.30%27.55%27.40%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.91%3.58cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.03%27.92%27.90%28.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.303.303.4731.25%30.26%30.30%28.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Avispa Fukuoka (Local) : 46.16% ; Mito HollyHock (Visiteur) : 25.93% ; Match nul : 27.91%. Pour Mito HollyHock (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.86. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +1.12%.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -6.29%E -3.10%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -8.13%E -4.09%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 19:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16%EV -4.44%E -2.15%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.94%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.20%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.11%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.69%EV -3.16%E -0.910%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 10:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.79%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 19:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -13.14%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.06%EV -9.86%E -3.05%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 10:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.44%E -4.37%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |