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Avispa Fukuoka v Mito HollyHock
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Avispa Fukuoka (Хозяева)
Прогноз 46.16%2.17справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.98%
Преимущество -1.91%
Kelly -3.69%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.08
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.82%46.21%46.17%47.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.911.971.952.0852.36%50.66%51.28%48.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Mito HollyHock (Гости)
Прогноз 25.93%3.86справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.12%
Преимущество +0.287%
Kelly +0.386%
Рост +0.004%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.47%25.87%25.94%27.16%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.633.653.9030.30%27.55%27.40%25.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.91%3.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.16%
Преимущество -0.910%
Kelly -1.28%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.47
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.03%27.92%27.90%28.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.303.303.4731.25%30.26%30.30%28.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Avispa Fukuoka (Хозяева): 46.16%; Mito HollyHock (Гости): 25.93%; Ничья: 27.91%. Для исхода «Mito HollyHock (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.86. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.90, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.12%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -6.29%E -3.10%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -8.13%E -4.09%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 19:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16%EV -4.44%E -2.15%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.94%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.20%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.11%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.69%EV -3.16%E -0.910%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 10:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.79%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 19:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -13.14%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.06%EV -9.86%E -3.05%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 10:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.44%E -4.37%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |