Idioma:Español
Avispa Fukuoka v Mito HollyHock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avispa Fukuoka (Local)
Predicción 46.16%2.17momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.82%46.21%46.17%47.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.911.971.952.0852.36%50.66%51.28%48.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mito HollyHock (Visitante)
Predicción 25.93%3.86momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.386%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.47%25.87%25.94%27.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.653.9030.30%27.55%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.91%3.58momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -0.910%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.03%27.92%27.90%28.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.303.303.4731.25%30.26%30.30%28.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 46.16%; Mito HollyHock (Visitante): 25.93%; Empate: 27.91%. Para Mito HollyHock (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.86. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.12%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -6.29%E -3.10%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -8.13%E -4.09%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 19:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16%EV -4.44%E -2.15%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.94%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.20%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.11%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.69%EV -3.16%E -0.910%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 10:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.79%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 19:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -13.14%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.06%EV -9.86%E -3.05%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 10:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.44%E -4.37%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |