Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avispa Fukuoka v Mito HollyHock

Início: 2026-09-05 10:00 UTC

Final: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Mito HollyHock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avispa Fukuoka (Local)

Previsão 46.16%2.17odd justa
EV -3.98%
Vantagem -1.91%
Kelly -3.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.82%46.21%46.17%47.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.971.952.0852.36%50.66%51.28%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mito HollyHock (Visitante)

Previsão 25.93%3.86odd justa
EV +1.12%
Vantagem +0.287%
Kelly +0.386%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.47%25.87%25.94%27.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.633.653.9030.30%27.55%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.91%3.58odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -0.910%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.03%27.92%27.90%28.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.303.303.4731.25%30.26%30.30%28.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 46.16%; Mito HollyHock (Visitante): 25.93%; Empate: 27.91%. Para Mito HollyHock (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.86. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.12%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 13:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV +1.12%E +0.287%K +0.386%G +0.004%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -6.29%E -3.10%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.77%E -0.738%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 10:09
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -8.13%E -4.09%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 19:35
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 12:20
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 12:20
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 12:20
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 12:20
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 12:18
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16%EV -4.44%E -2.15%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.94%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:20
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.20%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.11%EV -4.58%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.69%EV -3.16%E -0.910%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 10:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:40
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.02%EV -3.98%E -1.91%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 10:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -5.36%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.79%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:14
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 10:10
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-03 19:49
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 10:10
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 10:10
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 19:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 10:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 10:10
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.83%E -6.19%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.25%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 19:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -10.44%E -5.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 10:10
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 19:50
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.98%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.84%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.88%EV -6.75%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -13.14%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.06%EV -9.86%E -3.05%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 10:14
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.67%E -3.84%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.44%E -4.37%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 10:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00%2.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%2.4%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80%2.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80%2.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.80%2.8%2026-09-04 14:35