Language:English
Venezia v Reggiana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Venezia (Local)
Prediction 76.38%1.31fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -3.62%
Kelly -18.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.29%76.33%76.41%79.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.221.221.2590.09%82.29%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Reggiana (Visit)
Prediction 8.03%12.45fair odd
EV +24.54%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.415%
assuming max odds 15.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.02%8.05%7.95%10.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.9611.0015.5011.76%9.13%9.09%6.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.58%6.42fair odd
EV +3.17%
Edge +0.478%
Kelly +0.564%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 6.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.35%15.62%15.64%17.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.725.606.6219.05%17.49%17.86%15.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Venezia (Local): 76.38%; Reggiana (Visit): 8.03%; Draw: 15.58%. For Reggiana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.45. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.06%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.02%EV +24.54%E +1.58%K +1.69%G +0.415% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -2.60%E -0.416%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +12.48%E +0.892%K +0.960%G +0.120% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.11%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 13.44I 7.44%NM 7.15%EV +7.99%E +0.594%K +0.642%G +0.051% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.74%EV +1.61%E +0.247%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +4.45%E +0.342%K +0.371%G +0.017% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV -1.98%E -0.162%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.35%EV +3.17%E +0.478%K +0.564%G +0.018% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.10%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%EV -0.261%E -0.041%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -9.61%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.61%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.96%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -18.18%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 16:12 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 16:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -11.40%E -9.83%K -71.24%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -8.05%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -8.05%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.58%E -6.26%K -36.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 76.54%EV -15.22%E -13.71%K -138.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.72%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.73%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.05%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -15.64%E -1.49%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:12 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.64%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.10%EV -9.11%E -7.65%K -47.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:07 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.06%EV -13.69%E -12.11%K -105.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.59%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.58%E -6.26%K -36.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.33%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -18.18%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.10%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -31.71%E -3.73%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.08% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.38% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.03% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.85% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |