Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Venezia v Reggiana

Początek: 2026-03-07 16:17 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Venezia (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 76.38%1.31kurs godziwy
EV -4.52%
Przewaga -3.62%
Kelly -18.09%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
73.29%76.33%76.41%79.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.111.221.221.2590.09%82.29%81.97%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Reggiana (Goście)

Prognoza 8.03%12.45kurs godziwy
EV +24.54%
Przewaga +1.58%
Kelly +1.69%
Wzrost +0.415%

przy maksymalnym kursie 15.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
6.02%8.05%7.95%10.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
8.5010.9611.0015.5011.76%9.13%9.09%6.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 15.58%6.42kurs godziwy
EV +3.17%
Przewaga +0.478%
Kelly +0.564%
Wzrost +0.018%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.35%15.62%15.64%17.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.255.725.606.6219.05%17.49%17.86%15.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Venezia (Gospodarze): 76.38%; Reggiana (Goście): 8.03%; Remis: 15.58%. Dla wyniku Reggiana (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 12.45. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 15.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +24.54%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.06%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.02%EV +24.54%E +1.58%K +1.69%G +0.415%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -2.60%E -0.416%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 16:14
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +12.48%E +0.892%K +0.960%G +0.120%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.11%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%13.44I 7.44%NM 7.15%EV +7.99%E +0.594%K +0.642%G +0.051%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.74%EV +1.61%E +0.247%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.1%2026-03-07 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +4.45%E +0.342%K +0.371%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV -1.98%E -0.162%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.35%EV +3.17%E +0.478%K +0.564%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-07 16:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.10%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%EV -0.261%E -0.041%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 16:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003%5.0%2026-03-07 16:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003%5.0%2026-03-07 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003%5.7%2026-03-07 16:14
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -9.61%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:15
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.61%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 16:14
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.96%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -18.18%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 16:14
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 16:12
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 16:13
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -11.40%E -9.83%K -71.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 16:14
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 16:15
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -8.05%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:14
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -8.05%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:14
BetUS🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.58%E -6.26%K -36.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 16:14
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 16:14
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 16:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 76.54%EV -15.22%E -13.71%K -138.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.72%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.73%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-07 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.05%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -15.64%E -1.49%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 16:14
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:12
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.64%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 16:14
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.10%EV -9.11%E -7.65%K -47.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 16:07
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-07 16:14
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.06%EV -13.69%E -12.11%K -105.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.59%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-07 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.58%E -6.26%K -36.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 16:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 16:14
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.33%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -18.18%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.10%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -31.71%E -3.73%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 16:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-03-07 16:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.0%2026-03-07 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.0%2026-03-07 16:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.08%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.38%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-03-07 16:15
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.03%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.85%2.0%2026-03-07 16:14