L’École des cotesFrançais
Venezia v Reggiana
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Venezia (Local)
Prévision 76.38%1.31cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -3.62%
Kelly -18.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.29%76.33%76.41%79.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.221.221.2590.09%82.29%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Reggiana (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.03%12.45cote équitable
EV +24.54%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.415%
avec la cote maximale 15.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.02%8.05%7.95%10.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.9611.0015.5011.76%9.13%9.09%6.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.58%6.42cote équitable
EV +3.17%
Avantage +0.478%
Kelly +0.564%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 6.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.35%15.62%15.64%17.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.255.725.606.6219.05%17.49%17.86%15.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.06%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.02%EV +24.54%E +1.58%K +1.69%G +0.415% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -2.60%E -0.416%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +12.48%E +0.892%K +0.960%G +0.120% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.11%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 13.44I 7.44%NM 7.15%EV +7.99%E +0.594%K +0.642%G +0.051% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.74%EV +1.61%E +0.247%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +4.45%E +0.342%K +0.371%G +0.017% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV -1.98%E -0.162%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.35%EV +3.17%E +0.478%K +0.564%G +0.018% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.10%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%EV -0.261%E -0.041%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -9.61%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.61%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.96%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -18.18%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 16:12 |
| Bet Victor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 16:13 |
| SportsBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -11.40%E -9.83%K -71.24%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -8.05%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -8.05%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BetUS | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.58%E -6.26%K -36.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 76.54%EV -15.22%E -13.71%K -138.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.72%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.73%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.05%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -15.64%E -1.49%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:12 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.64%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.10%EV -9.11%E -7.65%K -47.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:07 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.06%EV -13.69%E -12.11%K -105.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.59%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.58%E -6.26%K -36.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.33%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -18.18%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.10%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -31.71%E -3.73%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.08% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.38% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.03% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.85% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |