La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Venezia v Reggiana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Venezia (Local)
Predicción 76.38%1.31momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -3.62%
Kelly -18.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.29%76.33%76.41%79.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.221.221.2590.09%82.29%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Reggiana (Visitante)
Predicción 8.03%12.45momio equitativo
EV +24.54%
Ventaja +1.58%
Kelly +1.69%
Crecimiento +0.415%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.02%8.05%7.95%10.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.9611.0015.5011.76%9.13%9.09%6.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.58%6.42momio equitativo
EV +3.17%
Ventaja +0.478%
Kelly +0.564%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.35%15.62%15.64%17.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.255.725.606.6219.05%17.49%17.86%15.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.06%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.02%EV +24.54%E +1.58%K +1.69%G +0.415% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -2.60%E -0.416%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +12.48%E +0.892%K +0.960%G +0.120% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.11%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 13.44I 7.44%NM 7.15%EV +7.99%E +0.594%K +0.642%G +0.051% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.74%EV +1.61%E +0.247%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +4.45%E +0.342%K +0.371%G +0.017% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV -1.98%E -0.162%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.35%EV +3.17%E +0.478%K +0.564%G +0.018% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.10%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%EV -0.261%E -0.041%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -9.61%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.61%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.96%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -18.18%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 16:12 |
| Bet Victor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 16:13 |
| SportsBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -11.40%E -9.83%K -71.24%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -8.05%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -8.05%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BetUS | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.58%E -6.26%K -36.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 76.54%EV -15.22%E -13.71%K -138.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.72%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.73%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.05%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -15.64%E -1.49%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:12 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.64%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.10%EV -9.11%E -7.65%K -47.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:07 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.06%EV -13.69%E -12.11%K -105.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.59%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.58%E -6.26%K -36.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.33%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -18.18%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.10%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -31.71%E -3.73%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.95% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.08% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.38% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.03% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.85% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |