A Escola das Odds

Venezia v Reggiana

Início: 2026-03-07 16:17 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Venezia (Local)

Previsão 76.38%1.31odd justa
EV -4.52%
Vantagem -3.62%
Kelly -18.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.29%76.33%76.41%79.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.221.221.2590.09%82.29%81.97%80.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Reggiana (Visitante)

Previsão 8.03%12.45odd justa
EV +24.54%
Vantagem +1.58%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescimento +0.415%

pressupondo odds máximas de 15.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.02%8.05%7.95%10.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.5010.9611.0015.5011.76%9.13%9.09%6.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 15.58%6.42odd justa
EV +3.17%
Vantagem +0.478%
Kelly +0.564%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.35%15.62%15.64%17.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.255.725.606.6219.05%17.49%17.86%15.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.06%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.02%EV +24.54%E +1.58%K +1.69%G +0.415%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -2.60%E -0.416%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 16:14
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +12.48%E +0.892%K +0.960%G +0.120%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 16:15
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.11%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%13.44I 7.44%NM 7.15%EV +7.99%E +0.594%K +0.642%G +0.051%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.74%EV +1.61%E +0.247%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.1%2026-03-07 16:14
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +4.45%E +0.342%K +0.371%G +0.017%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.86%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV -1.98%E -0.162%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.35%EV +3.17%E +0.478%K +0.564%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-07 16:14
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.10%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%EV -0.261%E -0.041%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 16:14
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003%5.0%2026-03-07 16:14
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.42%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003%5.0%2026-03-07 16:14
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +1.30%E +0.200%K +0.236%G +0.003%5.7%2026-03-07 16:14
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -9.61%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:15
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.61%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 16:14
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.96%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -18.18%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 16:14
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 16:12
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 16:13
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -11.40%E -9.83%K -71.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 16:15
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.55%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -3.58%E -0.299%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 16:15
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 16:14
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 16:15
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -8.05%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:14
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -8.05%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:14
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.58%E -6.26%K -36.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.39%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 16:14
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 16:14
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 16:14
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 76.54%EV -15.22%E -13.71%K -138.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.72%EV -11.62%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.73%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-07 16:15
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.05%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -15.64%E -1.49%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 16:14
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:15
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:12
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:15
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:15
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -15.85%E -2.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.64%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 16:14
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -8.34%E -6.95%K -41.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 16:14
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.10%EV -9.11%E -7.65%K -47.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 16:07
Parions Sport (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-07 16:14
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 16:15
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.06%EV -13.69%E -12.11%K -105.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.59%EV -19.65%E -1.97%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-07 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -7.58%E -6.26%K -36.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -6.49%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 16:14
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 16:14
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -17.40%E -3.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -6.81%E -5.59%K -30.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.29%E -2.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 16:14
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 73.33%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -23.67%E -2.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -18.18%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.10%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -31.71%E -3.73%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -12.73%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 16:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-03-07 16:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.0%2026-03-07 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.24%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.19%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.0%2026-03-07 16:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.08%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.38%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-03-07 16:15
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.03%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.85%2.0%2026-03-07 16:14