Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.66
assuming max odds 5.53
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palermo (Local): 58.07%; Cesena FC (Visit): 18.63%; Draw: 23.30%. For Cesena FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.37. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.05%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.15%EV +3.05%E +0.551%K +0.673%G +0.021% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.16%E -0.514%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.75%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.24%E -0.234%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.63%EV -14.06%E -9.50%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -1.24%E -0.234%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -16.38%E -11.37%K -37.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-18 14:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.44%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -3.10%E -0.596%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -3.60%E -2.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.67%EV -3.85%E -0.745%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.28%EV -3.56%E -0.859%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 15:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 15:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.76%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.76%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.62%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.62%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.14%E -4.48%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.49%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -10.57%E -6.87%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -11.49%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -12.42%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.43%EV -11.73%E -7.72%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.59%EV -13.81%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -20.79%E -6.12%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -10.57%E -6.87%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -18.01%E -4.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -19.31%E -4.46%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.90% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.84% | -0.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.56% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.00% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |