赔率学院

Palermo v Cesena FC

开赛时间: 2026-04-18 15:15 UTC

最终结果: Palermo 2–0 Cesena FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Palermo (主队)

预测 58.07%1.72公平赔率
EV -3.60%
优势 -2.17%
Kelly -5.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
55.87%58.11%58.01%61.03%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.441.561.571.6669.44%63.97%63.69%60.24%MIN均值中位数MAX

Cesena FC (客队)

预测 18.63%5.37公平赔率
EV +3.05%
优势 +0.551%
Kelly +0.673%
增长率 +0.021%

假设最高赔率为 5.53

博彩公司预测分布
16.64%18.58%18.75%20.42%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.335.045.005.5323.09%19.82%20.00%18.08%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 23.30%4.29公平赔率
EV -2.16%
优势 -0.514%
Kelly -0.674%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.33%23.31%23.24%25.14%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.403.933.954.2029.41%25.43%25.32%23.81%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.15%EV +3.05%E +0.551%K +0.673%G +0.021%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 15:10
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.16%E -0.514%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:24
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.75%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.24%E -0.234%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 60.63%EV -14.06%E -9.50%K -29.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -1.24%E -0.234%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:30
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:30
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -16.38%E -11.37%K -37.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 14:24
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.44%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -3.10%E -0.596%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:39
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -3.60%E -2.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.67%EV -3.85%E -0.745%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.28%EV -3.56%E -0.859%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 15:10
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:09
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:01
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:30
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:30
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:00
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:08
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 12:30
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.76%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.76%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.62%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 15:09
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.62%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 15:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:50
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 14:50
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.14%E -4.48%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 14:59
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.49%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -10.57%E -6.87%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -11.49%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:49
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -12.42%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 12:40
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.43%EV -11.73%E -7.72%K -22.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.59%EV -13.81%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 15:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -20.79%E -6.12%K -8.66%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-18 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -10.57%E -6.87%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -18.01%E -4.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 12:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -19.31%E -4.46%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 15:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.90%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.84%-0.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.56%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.00%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-04-18 15:10