Школа коэффициентов

Palermo v Cesena FC

Начало: 2026-04-18 15:15 UTC

Итог: Palermo 2–0 Cesena FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Palermo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 58.07%1.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.60%
Преимущество -2.17%
Kelly -5.46%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.66

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.87%58.11%58.01%61.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.441.561.571.6669.44%63.97%63.69%60.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Cesena FC (Гости)

Прогноз 18.63%5.37справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.05%
Преимущество +0.551%
Kelly +0.673%
Рост +0.021%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.53

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.64%18.58%18.75%20.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.335.045.005.5323.09%19.82%20.00%18.08%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 23.30%4.29справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.16%
Преимущество -0.514%
Kelly -0.674%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.33%23.31%23.24%25.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.933.954.2029.41%25.43%25.32%23.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.15%EV +3.05%E +0.551%K +0.673%G +0.021%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 15:10
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.16%E -0.514%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:24
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.75%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.24%E -0.234%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 60.63%EV -14.06%E -9.50%K -29.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -1.24%E -0.234%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:30
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:30
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -16.38%E -11.37%K -37.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 14:24
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.44%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -3.10%E -0.596%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:39
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -3.60%E -2.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.67%EV -3.85%E -0.745%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.28%EV -3.56%E -0.859%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 15:10
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:09
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:01
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:30
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:30
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:00
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:08
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 12:30
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.76%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.76%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.62%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 15:09
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.62%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 15:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:50
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 14:50
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.14%E -4.48%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 14:59
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.49%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -10.57%E -6.87%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -11.49%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:49
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -12.42%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 12:40
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.43%EV -11.73%E -7.72%K -22.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.59%EV -13.81%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 15:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -20.79%E -6.12%K -8.66%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-18 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -10.57%E -6.87%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -18.01%E -4.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 12:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -19.31%E -4.46%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 15:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.90%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.84%-0.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.56%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.00%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-04-18 15:10