La escuela de los momiosPalermo v Cesena FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palermo (Local)
Predicción 58.07%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -5.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.87%58.11%58.01%61.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.561.571.6669.44%63.97%63.69%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cesena FC (Visitante)
Predicción 18.63%5.37momio equitativo
EV +3.05%
Ventaja +0.551%
Kelly +0.673%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.64%18.58%18.75%20.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.045.005.5323.09%19.82%20.00%18.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.30%4.29momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.514%
Kelly -0.674%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.33%23.31%23.24%25.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.933.954.2029.41%25.43%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.15%EV +3.05%E +0.551%K +0.673%G +0.021% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.16%E -0.514%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.75%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.24%E -0.234%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.63%EV -14.06%E -9.50%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -1.24%E -0.234%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -16.38%E -11.37%K -37.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-18 14:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.44%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -3.10%E -0.596%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 12:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -3.60%E -2.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.67%EV -3.85%E -0.745%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.28%EV -3.56%E -0.859%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 15:01 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 15:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.76%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.76%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.62%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.62%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.14%E -4.48%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.49%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -10.57%E -6.87%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -11.49%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -12.42%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.43%EV -11.73%E -7.72%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.59%EV -13.81%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -20.79%E -6.12%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -10.57%E -6.87%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -18.01%E -4.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -19.31%E -4.46%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.90% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.84% | -0.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.56% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.00% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |