L’École des cotes

Palermo v Cesena FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 15:15 UTC

Score final : Palermo 2–0 Cesena FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Palermo (Local)

Prévision 58.07%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -5.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.87%58.11%58.01%61.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.561.571.6669.44%63.97%63.69%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cesena FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.63%5.37cote équitable
EV +3.05%
Avantage +0.551%
Kelly +0.673%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 5.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.64%18.58%18.75%20.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.045.005.5323.09%19.82%20.00%18.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.30%4.29cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.514%
Kelly -0.674%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.33%23.31%23.24%25.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.933.954.2029.41%25.43%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.15%EV +3.05%E +0.551%K +0.673%G +0.021%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 15:10
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.16%E -0.514%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:24
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +2.49%E +0.453%K +0.553%G +0.014%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 14:25
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.75%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -12.90%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV +0.626%E +0.116%K +0.142%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.24%E -0.234%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:49
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 60.63%EV -14.06%E -9.50%K -29.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -1.24%E -0.234%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:30
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:30
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -16.38%E -11.37%K -37.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -2.17%E -0.413%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 14:24
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.44%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -3.10%E -0.596%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:39
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -3.60%E -2.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.67%EV -3.85%E -0.745%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.28%EV -3.56%E -0.859%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 15:10
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:09
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 15:01
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:30
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.58%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:30
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:00
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:08
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -6.83%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 12:30
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.76%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.76%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:40
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.98%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.62%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 15:09
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.62%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -9.15%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 15:10
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:50
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 14:50
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.56%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.14%E -4.48%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 14:59
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.49%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -10.57%E -6.87%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -11.49%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:49
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -12.42%E -2.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 12:40
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.43%EV -11.73%E -7.72%K -22.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.59%EV -13.81%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 15:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.15%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -20.79%E -6.12%K -8.66%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-18 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.14%EV -10.57%E -6.87%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -18.01%E -4.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 12:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -19.31%E -4.46%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.90%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.84%-0.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.56%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-04-18 15:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.00%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-04-18 15:10