Language:English
Modena v Juve Stabia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Modena (Local)
Prediction 42.44%2.36fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.75%42.48%42.44%43.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.182.2550.00%46.19%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juve Stabia (Visit)
Prediction 26.31%3.80fair odd
EV +3.67%
Edge +0.932%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 3.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.54%26.24%26.19%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.403.9432.26%28.96%29.41%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.25%3.20fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.08%31.28%31.37%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.983.1036.36%33.84%33.56%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Modena (Local): 42.44%; Juve Stabia (Visit): 26.31%; Draw: 31.25%. For Juve Stabia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.55%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.54%EV +3.67%E +0.932%K +1.25%G +0.046% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -5.32%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.07%EV +1.04%E +0.271%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 15:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -1.33%E -0.354%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 16:26 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 16:11 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.85%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.47%EV -13.45%E -4.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-12 16:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 16:06 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.54%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -18.43%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-12 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |