La escuela de los momiosModena v Juve Stabia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Modena (Local)
Predicción 42.44%2.36momio equitativo
EV -4.51%
Ventaja -2.00%
Kelly -3.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.75%42.48%42.44%43.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.182.2550.00%46.19%45.87%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Juve Stabia (Visitante)
Predicción 26.31%3.80momio equitativo
EV +3.67%
Ventaja +0.932%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.54%26.24%26.19%28.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.453.403.9432.26%28.96%29.41%25.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.25%3.20momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.08%31.28%31.37%32.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.962.983.1036.36%33.84%33.56%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.55%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.54%EV +3.67%E +0.932%K +1.25%G +0.046% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -5.32%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.07%EV +1.04%E +0.271%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 15:58 |
| Bovada | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -1.33%E -0.354%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:36 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 16:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 15:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 13:20 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 16:26 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 16:11 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 13:34 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| betPARX | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.85%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 16:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.47%EV -13.45%E -4.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-12 16:16 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 16:06 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.54%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 16:20 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -18.43%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-12 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |