La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Modena v Juve Stabia
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Modena (Casa)
Previsione 42.44%2.36quota equa
EV -4.51%
Vantaggio -2.00%
Kelly -3.61%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.75%42.48%42.44%43.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.172.182.2550.00%46.19%45.87%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Juve Stabia (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.31%3.80quota equa
EV +3.67%
Vantaggio +0.932%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescita +0.046%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.54%26.24%26.19%28.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.453.403.9432.26%28.96%29.41%25.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.25%3.20quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.08%31.28%31.37%32.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.962.983.1036.36%33.84%33.56%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.55%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.54%EV +3.67%E +0.932%K +1.25%G +0.046% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -5.32%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.07%EV +1.04%E +0.271%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 15:58 |
| Bovada | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -1.33%E -0.354%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:36 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 16:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 15:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 13:20 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 16:26 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 16:11 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 13:34 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| betPARX | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.85%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 16:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-12 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.47%EV -13.45%E -4.85%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-12 16:16 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 16:06 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.54%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-12 13:19 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 16:20 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -18.43%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-12 14:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |