مدرسة الاحتمالات

Modena v Juve Stabia

البداية: 2026-05-12 16:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Modena 0–1 Juve Stabia

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Modena (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.44%2.36السعر العادل
EV -4.51%
الأفضلية -2.00%
Kelly -3.61%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.75%42.48%42.44%43.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.172.182.2550.00%46.19%45.87%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Juve Stabia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.31%3.80السعر العادل
EV +3.67%
الأفضلية +0.932%
Kelly +1.25%
النمو +0.046%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.54%26.24%26.19%28.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.453.403.9432.26%28.96%29.41%25.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.25%3.20السعر العادل
EV -3.13%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -1.49%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.08%31.28%31.37%32.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.962.983.1036.36%33.84%33.56%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.55%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.54%EV +3.67%E +0.932%K +1.25%G +0.046%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -5.32%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 16:41
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.07%EV +1.04%E +0.271%K +0.367%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 16:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 15:58
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -1.33%E -0.354%K -0.482%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:41
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:36
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%EV -5.78%E -2.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.06%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:35
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 16:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:40
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 16:40
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 13:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 15:10
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.13%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 13:19
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 13:20
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 16:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 16:40
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 16:41
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 16:26
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-12 16:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 16:15
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:05
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:00
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:05
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 16:11
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 13:34
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:05
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:05
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.85%EV -11.72%E -5.64%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 16:19
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 16:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-12 13:20
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.52%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.47%EV -13.45%E -4.85%K -7.60%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-12 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-12 16:16
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 16:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 16:10
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-12 16:05
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-12 16:06
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.54%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-12 13:19
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-12 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 16:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -10.88%E -5.18%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -18.43%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-12 14:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-05-12 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-05-12 16:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-05-12 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-05-12 16:30
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%2.0%2026-05-12 16:41