Language:English
Modena v Cesena FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Modena (Local)
Prediction 50.77%1.97fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.29%50.67%50.88%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.791.801.9360.24%55.80%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cesena FC (Visit)
Prediction 20.68%4.84fair odd
EV +0.511%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.89%20.85%20.41%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.394.504.8626.67%22.78%22.22%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.55%3.50fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.79%28.47%28.71%31.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.603.223.303.4038.46%31.04%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Modena (Local): 50.77%; Cesena FC (Visit): 20.68%; Draw: 28.55%. For Cesena FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.511%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.58%EV +0.511%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -12.64%E -4.13%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV +0.305%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.66%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV +0.305%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.66%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.03%EV -4.04%E -2.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.93%EV +0.098%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.37%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -0.730%E -0.152%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -15.78%E -5.35%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -5.90%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -5.90%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -13.69%E -8.05%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.06%E -7.17%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.06%E -7.17%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.09%EV -14.71%E -8.75%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.51%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.40%EV -16.64%E -5.70%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-07 18:27 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.51%EV -11.66%E -6.70%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -10.04%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 18:27 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.08%EV -10.45%E -2.41%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.62%EV -21.49%E -7.82%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.74%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.01%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.83%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.10%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 48.94%EV -15.72%E -9.47%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 19.81%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.25%EV -25.77%E -9.91%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 23.1% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -19.34%E -4.96%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -22.44%E -5.99%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.16% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.94% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |