مدرسة الاحتمالات

Modena v Cesena FC

البداية: 2026-03-07 18:32 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Modena (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.77%1.97السعر العادل
EV -2.01%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -2.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.29%50.67%50.88%53.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.791.801.9360.24%55.80%55.56%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cesena FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.68%4.84السعر العادل
EV +0.511%
الأفضلية +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.89%20.85%20.41%23.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.394.504.8626.67%22.78%22.22%20.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.55%3.50السعر العادل
EV -2.94%
الأفضلية -0.863%
Kelly -1.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.79%28.47%28.71%31.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.603.223.303.4038.46%31.04%30.30%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.58%EV +0.511%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -12.64%E -4.13%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:29
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV +0.305%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.66%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV +0.305%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.66%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:30
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.03%EV -4.04%E -2.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.93%EV +0.098%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 18:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 50.37%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -0.730%E -0.152%K -0.192%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -15.78%E -5.35%K -8.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 18:29
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 18:29
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:29
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:28
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:29
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -5.90%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 18:29
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -5.90%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 18:30
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:29
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 18:29
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:30
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -13.69%E -8.05%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 18:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.06%E -7.17%K -11.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.06%E -7.17%K -11.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 18:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:29
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 18:29
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.09%EV -14.71%E -8.75%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.51%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.40%EV -16.64%E -5.70%K -8.67%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-07 18:27
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.51%EV -11.66%E -6.70%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -10.04%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 18:27
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.08%EV -10.45%E -2.41%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.62%EV -21.49%E -7.82%K -12.28%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-07 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.74%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.01%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.83%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.10%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:29
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:30
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 18:29
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 48.94%EV -15.72%E -9.47%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 19.81%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.25%EV -25.77%E -9.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%23.1%2026-03-07 18:29
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 18:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 18:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -19.34%E -4.96%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 18:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -22.44%E -5.99%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-07 18:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.16%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%1.3%2026-03-07 18:30
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.94%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-03-07 18:30