La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Modena v Cesena FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Modena (Local)
Predicción 50.77%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.29%50.67%50.88%53.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.791.801.9360.24%55.80%55.56%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cesena FC (Visitante)
Predicción 20.68%4.84momio equitativo
EV +0.511%
Ventaja +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.89%20.85%20.41%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.394.504.8626.67%22.78%22.22%20.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.55%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -0.863%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.79%28.47%28.71%31.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.603.223.303.4038.46%31.04%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.58%EV +0.511%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -12.64%E -4.13%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV +0.305%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.66%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV +0.305%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.66%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.03%EV -4.04%E -2.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.93%EV +0.098%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.37%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -0.730%E -0.152%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -15.78%E -5.35%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -5.90%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -5.90%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -13.69%E -8.05%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.06%E -7.17%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.06%E -7.17%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.09%EV -14.71%E -8.75%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.51%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.40%EV -16.64%E -5.70%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-07 18:27 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.51%EV -11.66%E -6.70%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -10.04%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 18:27 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.08%EV -10.45%E -2.41%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.62%EV -21.49%E -7.82%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.74%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.01%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.83%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.10%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 48.94%EV -15.72%E -9.47%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 19.81%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.25%EV -25.77%E -9.91%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 23.1% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -19.34%E -4.96%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -22.44%E -5.99%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.16% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.94% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |