La scuola delle quote

Modena v Cesena FC

Inizio: 2026-03-07 18:32 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Modena (Casa)

Previsione 50.77%1.97quota equa
EV -2.01%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.29%50.67%50.88%53.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.791.801.9360.24%55.80%55.56%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cesena FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.68%4.84quota equa
EV +0.511%
Vantaggio +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.89%20.85%20.41%23.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.394.504.8626.67%22.78%22.22%20.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.55%3.50quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -0.863%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.79%28.47%28.71%31.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.603.223.303.4038.46%31.04%30.30%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.58%EV +0.511%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -12.64%E -4.13%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:29
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV +0.305%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.66%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV +0.305%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.66%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:30
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.03%EV -4.04%E -2.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.93%EV +0.098%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 18:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 50.37%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -0.730%E -0.152%K -0.192%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -15.78%E -5.35%K -8.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 18:29
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 18:29
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:29
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:28
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:29
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -5.90%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 18:29
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -5.90%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 18:30
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:29
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 18:29
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:30
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -13.69%E -8.05%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 18:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.06%E -7.17%K -11.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.06%E -7.17%K -11.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 18:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:29
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 18:29
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.09%EV -14.71%E -8.75%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.51%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.40%EV -16.64%E -5.70%K -8.67%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-07 18:27
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.51%EV -11.66%E -6.70%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -10.04%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 18:27
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.08%EV -10.45%E -2.41%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.62%EV -21.49%E -7.82%K -12.28%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-07 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.74%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.01%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.83%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.10%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:29
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:30
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 18:29
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 48.94%EV -15.72%E -9.47%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 19.81%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.25%EV -25.77%E -9.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%23.1%2026-03-07 18:29
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 18:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 18:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -19.34%E -4.96%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 18:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -22.44%E -5.99%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-07 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.16%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%1.3%2026-03-07 18:30
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.94%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-03-07 18:30