Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Modena v Cesena FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 18:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Modena (Local)

Prévision 50.77%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.29%50.67%50.88%53.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.791.801.9360.24%55.80%55.56%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cesena FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.68%4.84cote équitable
EV +0.511%
Avantage +0.105%
Kelly +0.132%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.89%20.85%20.41%23.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.394.504.8626.67%22.78%22.22%20.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.55%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -0.863%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.79%28.47%28.71%31.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.603.223.303.4038.46%31.04%30.30%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Modena (Local) : 50.77% ; Cesena FC (Visiteur) : 20.68% ; Match nul : 28.55%. Pour Cesena FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.84. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.86, soit une espérance positive de +0.511%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.58%EV +0.511%E +0.105%K +0.132%G +0.001%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -12.64%E -4.13%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV +0.305%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.66%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV +0.305%E +0.063%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.66%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.03%EV -4.04%E -2.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.93%EV +0.098%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.05%EV -5.22%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.37%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -0.730%E -0.152%K -0.192%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -15.78%E -5.35%K -8.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -6.58%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:29
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:28
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.87%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -5.90%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -5.90%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:29
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -13.69%E -8.05%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.06%E -7.17%K -11.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.95%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -20.06%E -7.17%K -11.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 18:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.09%EV -14.71%E -8.75%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.51%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.40%EV -16.64%E -5.70%K -8.67%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-07 18:27
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.51%EV -11.66%E -6.70%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -10.04%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 18:27
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.30%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.08%EV -10.45%E -2.41%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.62%EV -21.49%E -7.82%K -12.28%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-07 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.74%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.01%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.83%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.10%E -2.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:29
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.88%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 48.94%EV -15.72%E -9.47%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 19.81%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.25%EV -25.77%E -9.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%23.1%2026-03-07 18:29
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -17.27%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -19.34%E -4.96%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 18:29
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.08%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -21.41%E -5.63%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -2.94%E -0.863%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -12.17%E -7.03%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -22.44%E -5.99%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-07 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-03-07 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.16%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%1.3%2026-03-07 18:30
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.29%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-03-07 18:30
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.94%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-03-07 18:30